11-12/2016 Riding the tiger
Winston Churchill’s famous words – our policy is to wage war by land, sea and air – is a very commendable approach for the leader of a nation at war on his first day in office as his country’s prime minister. It can also be used by logisticians today, however. The industry’s major players are due to present their annual figures for 2015, and this era of change has wrought a number of commonalities between them. There is no agreement, however, concerning the level of growth that was effectively achieved last year. The International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the OECD’s estimates range between 2.8% and 3.5% – volatility abounds.
Kuehne + Nagel’s Detlef Trefzger believes that in future a «jagged pattern» – short-term nervous economic spikes, both positive and negative – will take the place of the hitherto well-known long-term boom and bust cycles. This is still preferable to a «great stagnation», one of the global horror scenarios that market analysts’ believe may become the order of the day. Another one could be the bifurcation of growth globally, with developed economies rebounding and emerging economies – for so long the engines of worldwide development – falling behind. The notorious double dip, for example, has not taken place in the recent past, however, so we do not have to gear up for every scenario.
Let us take off, rather than being too impressed by expectations. One place for this could be Iata’s World Cargo Symposium, being held in Berlin from 15 to 17 March. Our head of airfreight, Andreas Haug, will represent the ITJ, and he’s looking forward to meeting many well-known as well as new faces there. Thereafter we’d be happy to meet up with you somewhere over the next few weeks – be it at the SITL trade fair in Paris, at Breakbulk Africa in Johannesburg, or at Intermodal Latin America in São Paulo. And last but not least, I’ll also be attending Fiata’s headquarter session in Zurich in mid-March.
So there are plenty of opportunities for us to meet up and exchange opinions – one of the key spices of business. We’re looking forward to them!